Andrew Gilman

Any reason to care about Kansas? 20 predictions from around the Big 12

Any reason to care about Kansas? 20 predictions from around the Big 12

Just in case anyone is confused, Kenny Hill is not better than Baker Mayfield. You knew that.

And just in case there’s any lingering issues, doubt or concern, Hill, the fine quarterback from TCU, wasn’t better than Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield last Saturday in Norman.

No matter what some hack, making guesses and predictions from behind the dim glow of a computer screen tells you, don’t listen when it comes to comparing Hill and Mayfield.

So, with that debate settled, there’s nothing else to do but figure out some way to get sneak out of this slump. Good thing the Sooners are playing Kansas today because (1) this game will be decided by the time the coin flip is over.

With that in mind, there’s no reason to linger on what’s going down in Lawrence. (2) You’re not worried about it, so why should anyone else. More on Oklahoma and Kansas later.

The most-compelling game of the week is in Lubbock, Texas, but the most-interested observing third party will be in Stillwater. Hill is out for the Frogs today (that’s not a prediction, it’s actually fact) and suddenly it appears Texas Tech has some teeth. Maybe. If the Red Raiders win, suddenly Oklahoma State is back in the picture to play in the Big 12 title game. With the early kickoff in Texas, Oklahoma State will know exactly where it stands.

Hill won’t even make the trip to Lubbock. Neither will safety Niko Small and kicker Jonathan Song. True freshman Shawn Robinson will get the start at quarterback and the good news is, regardless of what team and what quarterbacks play against the Red Raiders, offenses generally have success. Robinson will. Now, TCU will try and run the ball. A lot, and keep it conservative for Robinson’s first start, and (3) it will work. The Frogs will run for three touchdowns and (4) won’t miss Hill.

Don’t be fooled here by the steam that seems to be pushing the Red Raiders forward. TCU entered the week as a 7.5-point favorite over Tech. Since the announcement about Hill, the line has only shifted 1.5 points. That tells me something. (5) Give the points. Tech still has to play defense. TCU wins 38-30.

In Stillwater, Oklahoma State has Kansas State in town. (6) Kansas State can’t score, (7) won’t be able to move the ball and (8) you’ll feel sorry for K-State coach Bill Snyder. (9) Oklahoma State will score. A lot. (10) You won’t feel bad for Gundy, despite the fact TCU will have wrapped up a win in Lubbock. The Cowboys are a 19.5-point favorite. (11) Give the points. OSU wins 52-17.

Back to Lawrence where Kansas is, hmm, how do you say it? Offensively challenged? Yeah. That about explains it. Oklahoma can’t really gain a lot of ground from the national perspective, but the Sooners could sure lose a lot. Already the college football playoff committee has been cloudy on what teams are the best in the country, so a poor defensive performance by Oklahoma could cement some already unjustified thinking by the closed-door committee. The only way to make sure that doesn’t happen is to score a bunch of points.

(12) But the Sooners will be sleepy. (13) Count on a slow start, where the Sooners don’t score on either of their first two possessions. Hard to get up for this one. (14) Oklahoma is a 37.5-point favorite and OU won’t get there. (15) Kansas will have a hard time scoring. (16) The Sooners will have a hard time caring. (17) Mayfield will get his yards and (18) won’t lose any ground in the Heisman racedespite (19) not playing in the fourth quarter. Just because this game was over before it started doesn’t mean it’s gonna be a blowout. (20) Hold your nose, cause it’s gonna smell. Take the points. OU wins 45-14.

Last week: 4-16 Check my math here.

Overall: 87-113

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