Andrew Gilman

A formula moving forward: Ranking the teams for the College Football Playoff

A formula moving forward: Ranking the teams for the College Football Playoff

Alabama hasn’t played the toughest schedule. Georgia won at Notre Dame. Oklahoma lost to a terrible Iowa State team that turned out not to be so terrible after all.

No one knows what the criteria the College Football Playoff committee used, will use or doesn’t use when coming up with which four teams will make the playoff. It’s just confusing.

So, let’s make it not confusing. I gave it a shot by coming with a fool-proof (well, there’s probably a few holes in it) way to figure who should be in the CFB playoff.

This formula factors in wins, wins over ranked opponents, quality of losses as well as considering the Associated Press Top 25 poll. Shouldn’t Oklahoma get credit for Iowa State improving? Yep. Should Alabama be penalized for beating a Florida State team that, turns out, isn’t very good? Of course. Iowa State gets a pat on the back for its two wins over ranked opponents, but gets dinged for its two losses to teams that haven’t been ranked all season.

Keep in mind, this isn’t final either. Subject to change as more games get played.

Ready to do the math? Here’s the formula.

Win – 2 points

Win over ranked team – 1 point

Loss to unranked AP Top 25 team (-1)

Loss to ranked AP Top 25 opponent – (-0.5)

0.25 points – for each win over a team currently ranked in AP Top 25 that wasn’t at time of game.

(-0.25) – for each win against a team team that isn’t currently ranked in AP Top 25 but was at time of game.

For example: Oklahoma is 7-1. That’s 14 points for the seven wins. Give OU 1 more point for its win against Ohio State, subtract 1 for its loss to then-unranked Iowa State and then add 0.25 for Iowa State getting into the rankings at a later date. Total = 14.25.

Don’t worry, Sooner fans. With games against TCU, Oklahoma State and possibly a Big 12 title game, there’s plenty of time to move up.

Let’s call it the “Morning Show Ratings”

(actual College Football Playoff committee rating)

1. Georgia (1) – 18

2. Alabama (2)  -16.75

3. Wisconsin (9) – 16

4. Clemson (4) – 15.75

4. Notre Dame (3) – 15.75

6. TCU (8) – 15.25

7. Ohio State (6) – 14.5

8. Oklahoma (5) – 14.25

8. Penn State (7) – 14.25

8. Oklahoma State (11) – 14.25

8. Virginia Tech (13) – 14.25

12. Miami (10) – 14

12. UCF (18) – 14

14. Washington (12) – 13

15. Iowa State (15) – 12

16. Auburn (14) – 11.75

 

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