Another week, another mistake. You’ve come to expect it and I’ve come to be disappointed.
Oklahoma has played a month’s worth of games against inferior competition and has played a month’s worth of games without impressing. Underwhelming performances against Baylor, Iowa State, Texas and Kansas State. Brutal handicapping on my part as well.
I’m tired of you laughing at me, so this week it’s time for a change. Oh, I’ll still 1. grossly overestimate the Sooners against Tech for tomorrow’s game (more on that in a bit), but this time I’m not going to limit my idiocy to just one team.
So, there’s a first time for everything. Usually this space is dedicated to figuring out the Oklahoma game, but this week I’m gonna go conference-wide, picking winners from all this week’s games from Ames to Norman and beyond.
2. I’ll probably go at least 16-4.
So, let’s get started with Iowa State at home against the best of the Big 12, TCU. The fact the Big 12 championship runs through Ames, Iowa, is a statement of non-fiction. 3. It’s also something you’ve never said out loud. See, these predictions are easy. With games against TCU this week and Oklahoma State, Iowa State will have a say in what goes down in the Big 12. Saturday won’t be easy for the Cyclones against the Frogs although 4. TCU quarterback Kenny Hill, who has been great this season, more controlled and more of a game manager, will throw a pair of interceptions. Meanwhile, Iowa State’s rush defense isn’t bad. 5. Take the Frogs to win. 6. Gimme the Cyclones to cover the seven points. It’ll be close. Oh, bonus prediction, that won’t pay off until about January, but gimme Matt Campbell to be the next coach at Nebraska, too.
On to Lawrence, Kan., where coach David Beaty is doing his best to lose his job at a place where they don’t even care if you do your job. The Jayhawks are a 24-point underdog against a limited Kansas State team. 7. Take the Wildcats. It’s gonna be ugly. Oh, and another bonus prediction: Beaty won’t lose his job. Not after this season, anyway.
In Waco, Texas, Baylor is winless but is showing major improvement. Meanwhile, we still don’t know much about the Longhorns, but we do know Texas is not back. Baylor is putting yards together and has even covered three of their past four games. Texas has lost two games in a row and quarterback Sam Ehlinger has been in concussion protocol all week and may not play vs. the Bears. This one’s easy. 8. Take the points, all nine of them. 9. But you don’t need them. Baylor wins this game straight up and gets its first win of the year.
At West Virginia, Oklahoma State is a seven-point favorite and most folks around here think that’s too many points considering the OSU offense went dormant last week and because the weather is supposed to be rainy. But this is West Virginia and the Cowboys have had little issue this season beating up on bad defensive teams. 10. Mason Rudolph will throw for 350 yards. 11. James Washington will pull down two touchdown catches and 12. OSU will have a bunch of big plays? How much is a big play? You’ll know it when you see it. But for the sake of transparency, let’s say a big play is one for 35 yards or more – and I’ll say they have at least five. 13. OSU gets to 45 points and covers easily. Give the seven. Take the win.
In Norman, another trap is set for the Sooners to fall short. Once again, they’re a double-digit favorite, this time at home, and once again, there’s no reason to think Oklahoma won’t cover the three touchdowns against Texas Tech. So, why do I keep walking directly into what seems to be too easy? Well, Oklahoma keeps playing inferior teams and keeps underachieving. Texas Tech is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation against the pass, just got whipped by Iowa State and doesn’t seem to have many winnable games left. 14. This is the week OU routs an opponent. 15. It’s also the week Tech gives up. 16. Rodney Anderson will rush for 100-plus. 17. Baker Mayfield will pass for 350 or more. 18. OU gets to 30 points by halfitme. 19. Sooners cover the 20 points easily.
20. I go 20-0.
Last week: 7-13. Check my math here.